30 March 2010
High tides and storm surge conditions along the east coast of Scotland are combining to produce very high coastal water levels. These high levels, exacerbated by high flows in the River Esk, are expected to cause significant flooding of property in some low lying areas of Musselburgh.
Furthermore, heavy rain/snow has affected large parts of Scotland, more especially the southern half of the country where 20 - 30mm of precipitation has fallen over the last 24 hours. 18 Flood Watches and one Flood Warning are currently in force, covering large parts of south and central Scotland. At the present time SEPA has not received any reports of river flooding.
The main risk of flooding is to property in the Musselburgh area adjacent to the River Esk, although other low lying areas along the east coast of Scotland may be at some risk. SEPA has issued a coastal Flood Watch for the east coast of Scotland from Peterhead to Berwick
The risk of flooding is, primarily, as a result of high tidal levels.
Outlook over the next 24-48 hrs
Further very high tides are expected over the next 24 - 48 hours, particularly along the east coast of Scotland. Current forecasts indicate that some areas, particularly the south and east of the country, will receive significant rainfall totals over the next 24 hours. The Lothians, Fife and the Borders are likely to be the worst affected with up to 50mm of precipitation falling over the next 24 hours. In some areas, especially away from the east coast, the precipitation will fall as snow, hence reducing the potential runoff into rivers.
We expect the situation to slowly deteriorate through today (Tuesday 30 March) with the potential for further flood warnings being issued later today and overnight. The heavy rain/snow is expected to ease later on Wednesday (31 March), but the outlook remains unsettled with further periods of rain.
SEPA will continue to monitor the situation and update Floodline (0845 988 1188) and SEPA's live flood updates as required.