Flood outlook for Wednesday 10 and Thursday 11 July

date09 July 2019

Vincent Fitzsimons, Flood Duty Manager for the Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA), said:

“Heavy rain is forecast for northern, central and eastern areas of Scotland over Wednesday and Thursday. SEPA has issued a number of regional Flood Alerts, which mean flooding is possible in places within these areas. You can see these at floodline.sepa.org.uk/floodupdates/

“The Met Office is forecasting heavy showers that could be slow-moving and thundery on Wednesday afternoon and evening. These could impact anywhere in eastern areas of Scotland tomorrow (Wednesday), particularly around Speyside, Moray and Aberdeenshire, Dundee & Angus. Many places may miss the heaviest showers, but if they affect urban areas or the transport network there could be disruption due to surface water flooding. This could include flooding of low-lying land and roads and difficult driving conditions. Although less likely, there could also be flooding from small and urban rivers if isolated rainfall is intense and prolonged.

“Heavy and thundery showers are also expected to affect the East on Thursday afternoon and evening. These will again be isolated in nature, but have the potential to cause more significant disruption where it falls on urban areas. Some regional Flood Alerts are already in force, and more may be issued tomorrow, depending on impacts anticipated from the latest Met Office forecast information.

“Thunderstorms are localised but intense and begin suddenly with little warning. As we’ve seen from recent events in Stirling and Edinburgh, this kind of weather can bring extremely localised surface water flooding from intense rainfall not draining away fast enough. This makes it hard to forecast and is why we have regional Flood Alerts, which cover the possibility of flooding anywhere within a wider area than our local and specific river and coastal Flood Warnings. It’s far less likely flooding will be caused by larger rivers this week, so a Flood Alert may be the only advance notice you have of potential flooding in an area where you live, work, or travel through.

“If a regional Flood Alert is issued for your area you should be prepared for the possibility of flooding and take the appropriate steps to prepare, especially if you are in a known trouble spot. Advice on what you can do to prepare is available at www.floodlinescotland.org.uk 

“We continue to work closely with Scotland’s flood preparation and response partners to ensure they have the latest updates and would encourage members of the public to remain vigilant, especially in isolated, low lying agricultural areas susceptible to flooding.

“Live, real-time flood updates are available on the SEPA website or for specific notifications for your area, please sign up to Floodline on 0345 988 1188.”